Saturday, December 20, 2008

Tampa Bay Downs Selections - 12/23/08

Prime Wager Results 4-9 (44%) +$0.60 (4-1-2) (78% ITM)

On Saturday, my prime wager, Ballymore Lady won the 8th after a DQ (and a justified one at that) and paid $5.60. I had no soft wagers Saturday. Among my contenders only selections, there were five winners, including a $55.30 exacta in the 7th (if you made the $12 box) and the winner of the 11th, Musical Mischief $47.60. My selections were posted exactly as I bet them, so you already know that I only collected in the 7th and the 8th. So it goes...

Tuesdays selections:

1st - Contenders Only 3,7,10

2nd - A prime wager, Magic Carpet Glide (6). Dueled in a par 83 sprint on opening day that went in 90. Goes Sprint-to-Route this afternoon on nine days rest for Miguel Feliciano who does his best work at the route and has won with the fastback angle before. Takes a huge drop. Expect Validity (1). Ziadie is 6-6 ITM with the Layoff+S+Dropdown last year and a 40% Sprint-to-Route win % at Tampa. Proud Diligence (5). Alexander is 50% ITM with 1st three off the claim. I'll play Win and an saver Exacta Key Box 6/1,5.

3rd - Contenders Only 1,2,6

4th - A soft wager, Mucho Dinero (10). Would be a prime, but its hard to make an L4-8 a prime under any circumstances. Scace's specialty is the L4-8+S+Dropdown with 33% win and 60% ITM for the angle. Mucho Dinero fits. Has been working extaordinarily well from the gate. Win and saver exacta box 10/2,8.

5th - A prime wager, Kaleigh Rose (8). Has been averaging sub-12 fractions in the final furlongs and fits well for Kimmel (21% win, 50% ITM at Tampa) with JA Velez Jr in the irons. Win and a saver Exacta Box 1/8.

6th - Contenders Only - Exacta Key Box 1/6,7

7th - Contenders Only - Exacta Key Box 2/8,10

8th - Contenders Only - Exacta Key 3/1,6,8

9th - Contenders Only - Exacta Box 2,4,7

10th - Contenders Only - Exacta Box 4/9 and Trifecta savers 4,9/6,12/4,9

Good luck and good racing and happy holidays to all!

Johnny B.

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