Tampa Bay Downs Selections - 04/28/09

2008-2009
Prime Wager Results.14-36 (39%) -$12.60 (14-4-7) (70% ITM)
Soft Wager Results....20-67 (30%) -$18.40 (20-15-8) (64% ITM)

2007-2008
Prime Wager Results 65-211(30.8%) +$20.00 (65-30-27) (57.8% ITM)

2008-2009 Seasonal Recap: 293 Structured Winning Wagers
(1 out of 3 races after Scratches)

100 Winners (Average Payoff $6.00)
135 Exactas (Average Payoff $29.50)
54 Trifectas (Average Payoff $138.30)
4 Daily Doubles (Average Payoff $18.10)

On Sunday, the chalk had a tough time of it and my prime wager in the 7th, Silver Eagle, was OOM with no excuse and my soft wager in the 10th, Tytus, failed to respond and settled for 3rd.

Among my contenders only selections:

I had the winner of the 2nd, Fleet Rita, $3.80, and
My 4th race $12 exacta box returned $33.80

So it goes...

There are only 3 more race days of free selections before The Tampa Bay Downs Handicapper becomes a subscription only site. Avoid the annual subscription price increase (to $99 after May 3rd) and subscribe today for $25.

Tuesday’s selections at http://www.thetbdhandicapper.com/ :

1st - Contenders Only (C) - Clemson (9) had great first call fraction on a -17 variant sloppy track last time out and has two 2nds in last two races. Gets another chance here with #3 leading rider Ronnie Allen Jr. up. HVG jumps from Winblaiseandshow (1) to ride Ocala Girl (6) and that one has been staying a little bit longer with each start and shortens up today. Generation Speed (7) was flying early two back, shortens up and adds blinkers for accomplished veteran trainer Gary Caple. Fortunate Flight (8) has had three 2nds in nine starts and shortens up after flashing speed in 2009 debut. Allen had the mount aboard Fortunate Flight four times last year and opts to ride Clemson today, a good sign for Clemson and a not so good sign for Fortunate Flight. Win (9), Saver Exactas 6,7,8/9 and Trifectas 6,8,9/1,2,7/6,8,9

2nd – A soft wager – Reason to Rejoice (7) drops from open company where she was outgunned in last, beaten by Jenna Lu Hu and Waitingfor Tonight, both winners of their last races. That one went in 70, today’s par is 57. Had the best fig in today’s field in last win on February 3rd. Win (7), Saver Exactas 3,5/7 and Trifectas 7/3,5,8/1,2,3,4,5,8

3rd – Contenders Only (D) – In last, Sherribaldi (6) was shuffled back for lack of room on the backstretch, swung around a tiring leader on the turn, and then finished strongly for the win. That one went in an above par 54, today’s par is 49. Had dynamite work on 4/11. Looks like Caple wants to steal another at long odds with winless Cedeno in the irons. Win (6), Exacta Box 2,5,6 and Trifectas 2,5,6/1,3,7/2,5,6

4th – Contenders Only (C) – Barrington Hills (3) was claimed by McCooey last time out. McCooey had three longshots ITM off-the-claim in L2T. Returns to a sprint today where last was a respectable 3rd place finish. Criollo has Alasan (6) a FTS that belongs to veteran owner and Trainer Bob Van Worp. HVG has the mount. April 5th workout was a couple of clicks above the bullet par for 3F from the gate. Advice to Sinners (12) has disappointed as the beaten favorite in last six races and goes from PP12 today. Enough is enough. Win (3), Saver Exacta 6/3 and Trifectas 3,6/1,3,6,12/1,3,6,12

5th – Contenders Only (C) – Native Yell (2) goes for KO’C and she wins 20% with all the angles that are in play here. Vail is 3-7 ITM on the grass. Without the AEs this field is weak with a capital “W”. Siccardi (6) has a pair of Z Patterns going and %E is in the zone. Sunday Delight (10) had a 12.30 final fraction for the last 3.5F in January start at GP and a repeat of that effort would be enough to beat these. Win (2), Exacta Box 2,6,10 and Trifectas 2,6,10/ 5,6,11/2,6,10

6th –A soft wager – Sweet Apple Betty (5) goes for Lynn Scace and she wins 60% with the L1-3 + RB + UC angle. Last was a par effort so repeat appears likely. Jolley has Afleet’s Passion (7) and the Layoff Shipper was at or above par in most of her starts. Great work on 4/7. However, Jolley has no Layoff winners at Tampa. Win (5), Saver Exacta 7/5 and Trifectas 5,7/2,9/2,3,5,7,9

7th – A soft wager – Runaway Sun (5) was sub-23 on the clubhouse turn and sub-24 on the backstretch in last, completely untouchable fractions that will bring him home first. A very slow pace can hurt, but Runaway Sun will just be that much closer to the up front action. Unpinkable (9) hung late after leading throughout with fast fractions in last. Seems to like being out front. Terminal Burst (6) has satisfactory final fractions and could be up for a piece. Win (5), Saver Exactas 3,9/5 and Trifectas 5,9/1,3,6,7/3,5,6,9

8th – Contenders Only (C) – Marblehead (8) comes back fast and drops after trying the grass. Previous was above par effort at today’s distance. Connelly had a fastback winner last season. Will be looking for a win in last start of the season. Seeking Affairs (7) was second best in last at 7F and goes Sprint-to-Route today. %E is in the zone. Mike Straight has the return call for winless Lamoureux. Win (8), Saver Exacta 7/8 and Trifectas 7,8/3,4/3,4,7,8

9th – Contenders Only (B) – Shot of Silver (6) won with a par effort in sprint on the grass at Remington in the fall, next three were ITM. Takes a drop today and Butler sticks for Rhone. Recent works have been good. Looks like the value play of the day here. Win (6), Saver Exactas 4,9/6 and Trifectas 6,9/1,2,4,5/4,6,9

10th – Contenders Only (B) – Peak of the Storm (10) was second best as the beaten favorite in last. Gets another chance in 2nd try at this level. Bennett wins 21% (43%ITM) with 2L1-3s. Chelly Graeme (3) drops after racing forwardly early in last. Had excellent work six days ago. Win (10), Saver Exacta 3/10 and Trifectas 3,10/5,6,7,8/3,10

Good luck and good racing!

Johnny B.