Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Tampa Bay Downs Selections - 04/22/09

Prime Wager Results.14-35 (40%) -$10.60 (14-4-7) (71% ITM)
Soft Wager Results....20-66 (30%) -$16.40 (20-15-7) (64% ITM)

Seasonal Recap: 285 Winning Wagers
95 Winners (Average Payoff $5.80)
133 Exactas (Average Payoff $29.40)
53 Trifectas (Average Payoff $139.40)
4 Daily Doubles (Average Payoff $18.10)

On Tuesday, I had no prime or soft wagers.

My contenders only selections were skunked as longshots carried the day, win, place and show.

So it goes...

Wednesday’s selections at http://www.thetbdhandicapper.com/ :

1st – Contenders Only (D) – Esprit de Mar (4) drops a notch today after 2009 debut on off track one week ago where he chased before fading. Was ITM two back with a fig that would put these away. Switches to HVG. Alie’s Fabian showed all his cards in last and will be trying again today. Western Flight (7) was ITM two back before racing on the off track in last. Win (4), Exacta Box 4,5,7 and Trifecta Box 4,5,7,9

2nd – Contenders Only (C) – Wynn’s Wild Flower (3) had three solid efforts and shortens up today. Sweetsformyhoney (11) was up for 2nd as the beaten favorite in last. Dotpower is one dimensional and will be pressured throughout. Win (3), Saver Exacta 11/3 and Trifectas All/3/11

3rd – Contenders Only (C) – Train to Glory (6) is poised to make this year’s campaign as good or better than last years. Comes back fast after being ridden out in last. Polynesian Sunset (4) has %E that says “yes” to the stretchout and Ness wins 44% with the angle. Levy Light (8) is on top of her game with three 2009 wins at Tampa. Win (6), Saver Exactas 4,8/6 and Trifectas 6,8/1,3,4/4,6,8

4th – Contenders Only (B) – A Question of Time (4) returns to the dirt where last two were solid efforts. Bennett wins 26% with L1-3’s. Reprisal (3) is also racing well in sprints this season. No Fancy Title (6) worked well last week and may be ready for big return for Bennett who wins 25% (50% ITM) with L9up types. Win (4), Exacta Box 3,4,6 and Trifectas 4/3,5,6,8/3,6

5th – Contenders Only (A) – Bohemian Dream (10) had fast late fractions despite weakening in deep stretch in last. Get A Lawyer (8) goes with him again but has Centeno this time. 7YO Arhat’s (5) debut surprised many and he lacked room at the end of the turn and was going well at the finish. RoHo has only one mount today and it’s the return call on Arhat. Looks like a positive sign. Win (5), Saver Exactas 8,10/5 and Trifectas 10/5/All

6th – Contenders Only (B) – Baroccorocco (8) had good early fractions and was very close to par in first two tries at the downs and shortens up today. CV Slew (1) goes for 26% newcomer Earl Begley. Another with good early speed and drops to the bottom today. Inside post likely to hamper Slew. Europa Dancer (6) has very generous ML after being ITM with solid figs in four of last six. Win (8), Saver Exactas 1,6/8 and Trifectas 8/All/1,6

7th – Contenders Only (B) – Mr. Guska (3) comes back to Chad Stewart and he won with Mr. G at 5F on the grass going Dirt to Turf last season. Fast early fractions in last win make it look right. Not Acclaim (9) drops for Ziadie and he wins 29% (71%ITM) with dropdowns. Switch to Straight lightens the load. Win (3), Saver Exacta 9/3 and Trifectas 3,9/2,4,6/3,9

8th – Contenders Only (B) – Seniors Pride (7) was closest to par in last two and shortens up for Ziadie who wins 30% (45%ITM) with the angle. Jewel Heist (6) had respectable debut and Scace wins 25% (42%ITM) with 2TSs. Glory Charge (8) comes back to a sprint after waking up going long. Ryan has Footcandles (10) and he wins 21% in first three off the layoff. Footcandles drops after showing something in first three. Win (7), Saver Exactas 6,8,10/7 and Trifectas 7/1,4,8/6,8,10

9th – Contenders Only (B) – Rumor Has It (6) plummets in class while going for Hinsley. Hinsley and Centeno hooked up with a layoff winner on the grass in 2007.Pitchnicholas (2) had 11.89 final fraction in last and is always very tough at this level. Heza Wild Guy (8) has a high win % on the grass and is classy but Rhone wins only 10% with layoffs. Win (6), Saver Exacta 2/6 and Trifectas 2,6/1,8,9/2,6,8

10th – Contenders Only (C) – Magic Kipper (6), winner of last and a 50% ITM lifetime runner comes back after a six week rest for Debbie Artz. Appears to be well intended. Unlimited Funds (5) goes for McCarthy but she wins only 4% with fastbacks. Uno Way Calle (11) has been playing musical chairs all season and is back to McCarthy presently but McCarthy wins only 4% on the stretchout. Win (6), Saver Exactas 3,4,7/6 and Trifectas 4,6,7/5,11/3,4,6,7

Good luck and good racing!

Johnny B.

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