Soft Wager Results....20-66 (30%) -$16.40 (20-15-7) (64% ITM)
Seasonal Recap: 282 Winning Wagers
92 Winners (Average Payoff $5.80)
133 Exactas (Average Payoff $29.40)
53 Trifectas (Average Payoff $139.40)
4 Daily Doubles (Average Payoff $18.10)
On Saturday:
My soft wager in the 6th, Mac Speed, was 2nd in a photo,
My soft wager in the 7th, Grimaldi, was not ready after the layoff and was out of the money, and
My prime wager in the 8th, Luckman, had to settle for 2nd.
Among my contenders only selections:
My 2nd race $6 saver exacta returned $42.60,
I had the winner of the 4th, Gato Paso, $7.00,
My 11th race $24 trifecta box returned $92.20, and
My 12th race contenders only selection scratched.
So it goes...
There are only 8 more race days of free selections before The Tampa Bay Downs Handicapper becomes a subscription only site. Avoid the annual subscription price increase (to $99 after May 3rd) and subscribe today for $25.
Sunday’s selections at http://www.thetbdhandicapper.com/ :
1st – Contenders Only (C) – A Slick Chic (2) drops to the bottom for Ness but Allen jumps to stay with Queen Maddie (7). Ness wins 39% (63%ITM) with dropdowns. Straight cooled off Tuesday and Wednesday, but he didn’t have any live ones either. Ashley and I (5) is 62% ITM lifetime and was above par in six of last ten. Clearly needed last one after long layoff and my fig has her much closer to par than the bible. Queen Maddie (7) was at or above par in two of last three. Win (5), Saver Exactas 2,7/5 and DD’s 2,5,7/5
2nd – A prime wager – Advice to Sinners (5) was 8 1/2 back at the 2nd Call, was flying through the stretch and needed only a couple of more strides to put the winner away in last. Was up close in last two at the route and is 5-5 ITM at Tampa this season. Ness wins 44% (52% ITM) with Route-to-Sprints. Shady Spot’s (6) %E is close to the lower parameter for the distance and Barrington Hills (2) is close to the upper parameter but both are in the zone and must be considered contenders. Win (5), Saver Exactas 2,6/5 and Trifectas 5/All/2,6 and DD’s 5/4,8,9
3rd – Contenders Only (C) – Suave Angel (4) may be 1-25 but she’s 7-9 ITM at Tampa. Last two were close to par. Cruz has been winning at a 25% streak for the past ten days. Suave Angel had a solid work four days ago. Pyrite Beautiful (9) flashed speed in last at 7F before weakening after a half mile. Shortens up today and sheds 7 lbs. in switch to Dehn. Looks like Berry’s been racing her into condition and it’s now or never with only two weeks left to the season. Win (9), Exacta Box 4,8,9 and Trifectas 4,8,9/1,3,6,10/4,8,9
4th – Contenders Only – (A) – Straight Lady Luck (7) has been racing into fast early paces and has been hard to get going but today she races with a weak field and is bound to be closer early. Centeno has the return call. Pure Miracle (3) had a couple of strengtheners at the route before racing in the slop at 7F in last. If bomb maker Behrens is going to try, it’s today. Win (7), Saver Exacta 3/7 and Trifectas 7/All/3
5th – Contenders Only – (B) – See I A (6) had best fig in the field two back at 7F, goes 6.5F today and faces three rock bottom maiden winners here. Should shake’em all off for his 2nd win. Carte Blanche (2) goes for Cibelli and she is 86% ITM with Non-shipping L1-3 + Dropdown angle in L2T. Cibelli/Lopez team is 54% ITM this season. Prince David (9) goes for Kaelin and he was 50% ITM with Route-to-Sprints in L2T. O’Connell has Atsatsuki (5) but she wins only 13% with L1-3 + types. Win (6), Saver Exacta 2/6 and Trifectas 2,6/1,3,4,7,8,9/2,6
6th – Contenders Only (C) – Mi Helena (5) has been close at 8.5F, had the best final fraction in the field two back and all her fractional times indicate superiority over these. Bobbin’forgold (3) goes for Leigh Delacour who has racked up 10 Layoff winners in L2T and wins 26% rightback. Iguana Joe (8) goes for 50% ITM trainer Tom Proctor and Proctor switches to leading rider Daniel Centeno today. Win (5), Saver Exactas 3,8/5 and Trifectas 3,5,8/3,4,6/3,5,8
7th – Contenders Only (C) – A Curious Lady (8) made a quick move on the turn to put away the leader, gained a two length advantage and gave nothing back in the stretch in last, her third victory since September. Cibelli is 54% ITM with rightbacks and A Curious Lady shortens up today. Shoe Babe (11) has been working extremely well and had above par figs at the Big A over the winter. Babe is the main threat here and gets another chance after off-track debut at the Downs. Win (8), Saver Exacta 11/8 and Trifectas 8,11/6,10/6,8,10,11
8th – Contenders Only (C) – Photo Image (7) is in good form now and is always trying. Ness and HVG have both been hot. Private Ruthie (4) is eliminated from contention as JJ Delgado tries the grass. Win (7), Saver Exactas 5,12/7 or 2,5/7 (if 12 is out) and Trifectas 5,7,12/2,3,6,10/5,7,12 or 2,5,7/3,6,10/2,5,7 (if 12 is out).
9th – Contenders Only (B) – Rush to Dinner (1) was close to par in last at 6.5F and shortens up to 5F where he had the best fig in the field at the distance. Mike Straight is up again. Apollyoncomesfirst (6) goes for Frances Gogas, who had four Layoff winners in L3T. Takes a drop after trying the poly. Had bullet work at the Oakridge Equine Center a couple of weeks ago. Win (1), Saver Exacta 6/1 and Trifectas All/1,6/1,6
10th – Contenders Only (C) – Xep for Elmer was closest to par in last and was above par two back and that’s more than the rest of these can say. Lite Brigade (2) and Boots Are Walking (9) duked it out in last and are the main competition in an event that is filled mostly with favors to the Racing Secretary. Win (3), Saver Exactas 2,9/3 and Trifectas 3/2,9/All
11th – Contenders Only (D) – Too Much Zip (4) comes rightback and goes long for Ness who wins 38% rightback and 44% with Sprint-to Route types. Zip is usually above par and fits here. Centeno is up. Nomudderafleet (2) is ITM in 10 of 21 and last was close to par. Pompano Beach Rose (7) goes for Ness and he was 100% ITM with RB + Stretchout + UC angle in L2T. Give Me a Smooch (8) was outgunned in last and takes a sensible drop for Arterburn. Smooch is almost always above par and gets another chance here. Win (4), Saver Exactas 2,7,8/4 and Trifectas 4/3,5,9/2,7,8
Good luck and good racing!
Johnny B.
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