Tampa Bay Downs 2007-2008 Season Analysis #2

The results of analysis #2 are in and I have validated the pattern I've documented in the past three consecutive seasons.

In the Feature and Stakes races for the last three seasons, $2 straight exactas on the second and third betting choices has yielded a positive ROI of $0.61 and $1.74* respectively.

Next season, I'll be temperately betting straight exactas on the second and third choices in the Stakes races at Tampa Bay Downs and will be looking for an 87% return on my money, WITHOUT HANDICAPPING. And if my selections are the second and third choices in the wagering, I'll be trebling my wagers.

In my next analysis, I'll be reviewing last year's Optional Claiming races. If you followed the Tampa Bay Downs Handicapper last season, you'll remember that I observed that for the past two seasons, in Optional Claiming sprints on the dirt, the OC won 50% of the races when going to the post as the favorite and the conditioned entrants won more than twice their fair share of the Optional Claiming races. In analysis three, I'll be determining whether or not this phenomena persisted in the 2007-2008 season.

Keep up with the Tampa Bay Downs Handicapper all summer. This data will not be available after the 2008-2009 season begins.

Footnote* - The results of the 2nd & 3rd choice straight exacta analysis for Stakes races (in 2008 only) was buoyed by a $64.80 return that resulted from the last place finish of War Pass at odds of 1-20 in the Tampa Bay Derby. I make this revelation in the interest of transparency and full disclosure. Nevertheless, after three seasons the 2&3 exacta combo returned $3.74 for each $2.00 wagered and you can't argue with that.

Johnny B.